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Why the Red Wings should enter another rebuild

The Detroit Red Wings have spent years trying to thread the needle between rebuilding for the future and competing in the present. At times, it looked like that approach was beginning to pay off. Now, with the organization facing a wave of uncertainty both on and off the ice, the direction of the franchise has never been more important. It may not be the popular opinion, but the Red Wings could be at a crossroads where one difficult decision today sets them up for long-term success tomorrow.
Oct 26, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA;  Detroit Red Wings left wing Lucas Raymond (23) receives congratulations from defenseman Moritz Seider (53) after scoring in the second period against the Winnipeg Jets at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 26, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Red Wings left wing Lucas Raymond (23) receives congratulations from defenseman Moritz Seider (53) after scoring in the second period against the Winnipeg Jets at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports | USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Connect

The Detroit Red Wings are entering one of the most uncertain periods the franchise has faced in years.

With Dylan Larkin reportedly wanting out, Steve Yzerman stepping away from his role as general manager, Patrick Kane returning to Chicago and both Alex DeBrincat and Simon Edvinsson still without contract extensions, the next general manager inherits a difficult situation.

While many fans will immediately hope for another aggressive retool, this may finally be the time for Detroit to embrace a short-term mini rebuild.

The Atlantic division isn't getting easier

Even if the Red Wings managed to keep some of the talent they're losing, the path to contention remains incredibly difficult. The Atlantic Division continues to feature perennial contenders like Florida, Toronto, and Tampa Bay, while Ottawa, Montreal, and Buffalo have all taken significant steps forward with younger cores.

Beyond the division, the Eastern Conference is loaded with playoff-caliber teams, making it even harder to simply sneak into the postseason.

Instead of chasing a wild-card spot and finishing in the middle of the standings yet again, Detroit should focus on building a roster capable of competing for championships and not just playoff appearances.

Lottery luck hasn't been kind

Red Wings fans know better than anyone how unforgiving the NHL Draft Lottery can be.

The most painful example came in 2020 when Detroit entered the lottery with the league's worst record and the best odds of selecting first overall. Instead, they slid all the way to fourth overall, missing out on the top three picks.

Fortunately, Lucas Raymond has developed into exactly the type of cornerstone player every organization hopes to draft, softening the blow considerably. But Detroit can't continue relying on beating the odds every time they draft outside the very top of the board.

If the organization is going to reset, now is the time to maximize its chances of landing elite talent.

The core still needs more help

The foundation of the next great Red Wings team is already in place.

Moritz Seider has established himself as a franchise defenseman. Lucas Raymond looks like a legitimate star winger. Simon Edvinsson has all the tools to become a top-pair defenseman, assuming he signs a long-term extension. In goal, Trey Augustine continues to develop into what many hope will eventually become Detroit's long-term answer between the pipes.

The organization still lacks a clear future No. 1 center, arguably the most important position in today's NHL. While Detroit has several intriguing prospects, only a handful currently project as potential top-six forwards or top-four defensemen. That's simply not enough organizational depth to compete with the NHL's elite.

Rip Off the Bandage

A two-year mini rebuild isn't about accepting years of losing, it's about creating a realistic path back to contention.

Accumulating top-five draft picks over the next couple of seasons would give Detroit its best opportunity to add the elite center talent it has been searching for since Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg led the franchise. Pairing those future additions with Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson and Augustine would give the next era of Red Wings hockey a much stronger foundation.

It won't be an easy sell to a fanbase that's already waited years for meaningful playoff hockey. But continuing to fight for the middle of the standings may only delay the inevitable.

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